BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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East Tennessee St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 32 Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  131.62
Conference: Southern Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (7-4)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W   * 144.81  45  17   1B  83 ( 1-11) Murray St              14.29     12.59   13.71                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L     116.06  17  72   1A  27 ( 8- 5) Tennessee             -14.46 *  -24.47  -40.54                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    L   * 132.72  31  35   1B  28 ( 8- 3) West Georgia            2.20    -22.98   -6.20                      
 4 09/20/2025 Home    W   * 136.08  26  16   1B  47 ( 6- 6) Elon                    5.56     12.85    4.44                      
 5 09/27/2025 Home    L * * 131.04  34  38   1B  24 ( 9- 3) Mercer                  0.53      7.22   -4.53                      
 6 10/04/2025 Away    L * * 112.29  22  31   1B  84 ( 6- 6) Furman                -18.22      7.24    9.22                      
 7 10/11/2025 Home    W * * 133.90  45  10   1B 117 ( 1-11) VMI                     3.38 *   27.51   31.62                      
 8 10/18/2025 Away    L * * 120.05  38  42   1B  85 ( 5- 7) Chattanooga           -10.47     16.97    6.47                      
 9 10/25/2025 Home    W * * 130.94  14  10   1B  40 ( 6- 6) Wofford                 0.42      6.92    3.58                      
10 11/08/2025 Away    W * * 136.01  38  14   1B 113 ( 1-11) Samford                 5.49     25.00   18.51                      
11 11/15/2025 Away    W * * 149.33  52  35   1B  33 ( 7- 5) Western Carolina       18.82     -2.62   -1.82                      
12 11/22/2025 Home    W * * 122.97  28  26   1B  69 ( 4- 8) The Citadel            -7.54     11.97    9.54                      
      Averages             130.52  32.5 28.8

Best game:  149.33 = 17 point win over Western Carolina
Worst game: 112.29 = 9 point loss to Furman
Team stdev:  11.05